1. Introduction: Does a truly “unbeatable” logic exist in FX?

Why is FX popular?

FX can be started with a small amount of capital, and you can aim for large profits by leveraging. Additionally, the ability to trade 24 hours a day makes it flexible and appealing. However, since risks accompany profits, a cautious strategy is required.

Does a “unbeatable logic” exist?

In conclusion, there is no logic that can never lose. The market is constantly changing, and a 100% winning method is impossible. However, a “loss-minimizing logic” can be constructed.

The importance of realistic goal setting

Beginners should set “not reducing capital” as their initial goal, and then transition to strategies that grow profits.

2. Understanding the Real Causes of Losses and Risks in FX

Market Volatility and Uncertainty

Markets react strongly to news and events. To cope with sudden price movements, you need to use an economic calendar, set limit orders, and rigorously manage leverage.

Trading Psychology Driven by Emotions

Emotional decisions lead to losses. Aim for calm trading by setting stop‑losses and strictly following trade rules.

Impact of Information Overload and Misinformation

Avoid being misled by exaggerated ads or misinformation; base your decisions on reliable data and analysis.

Over‑Optimization and Its Pitfalls

Over‑optimizing an EA can lead to failures in live operation. Forward testing and adopting simple logic are essential.

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3. Fundamental Principles for Building a Low‑Loss FX Strategy

Capital Management and Risk Control

  • Keep leverage between 3x and 5x.
  • Use stop‑loss and limit orders to eliminate emotional decisions.

Methods to Strengthen Market Analysis

By combining technical and fundamental analysis, you can predict market movements from multiple angles.

Continuous Review of Trading Rules

Keep trade logs, analyze win rates and drawdowns, and regularly optimize your strategy.

4. Utilizing Automated Trading Systems (EA) and Risk Management

EA Advantages and Disadvantages

Advantages:

  • Operates 24/7 without being influenced by emotions.
  • Allows pre-testing through backtesting.

Disadvantages:

  • Cannot respond to sudden market changes.
  • High risk due to over-optimization.

Points to Avoid Over-Optimization

  • Confirm operational stability through forward testing.
  • Maintain a simple logic.
  • Regularly review settings.

Checklist When Selecting an EA

  • Choose a trustworthy provider and verify performance metrics (profit factor, drawdown, etc.).
  • Conduct pre-testing on a demo account.

5. Understanding the Reality of Overseas IBs and Their Dangers

What is the mechanism of IB (introducing broker)?

Overseas IBs earn a reward called pips back by introducing traders. Because they profit more as the number of trades increases, they tend to encourage frequent trading.

Leading to High-Risk EAs and Points to Watch

There are cases where EAs that boast high win rates are recommended to increase the number of trades, leading beginners astray. In real market conditions, the risk of loss rises, so make careful judgments.

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Overseas IBs are Hard to Regulate Under Japanese Law

Overseas IBs are outside the jurisdiction of Japanese law and are not regulated by the Financial Services Agency. Because compensation cannot be expected in case of trouble, choose a highly safe provider.

6. The Reality of FX Traders Seen Through Data and Statistics

Reality Learned from FX Traders’ Win Rate Data

  • Traders who can consistently generate profits are about 10–20%.
  • Approximately 80% of traders exit within a few years.

Building a Low-Loss Strategy Using Data Analysis

Using Indicators:

  • Calculating win rate and risk-reward ratio
  • Evaluating maximum drawdown and profit factor

Trade Records:
By keeping records, analyzing patterns, and identifying improvement points, you can strengthen your strategy.

7. Summary: Aim for stable trading with a low-loss logic!

Break Free from the Illusion of a “Never-Losing Logic”

There is no such thing as a guaranteed winning strategy. Instead, it’s crucial to build a low-loss strategy and rigorously manage risk.

Three Fundamental Principles Supporting a Low-Loss Logic

  1. Capital Management: Control losses and eliminate emotions.
  2. Data Analysis: Regularly review win rates and drawdowns.
  3. Continuous Improvement: Optimize strategies based on trade records.

Risk Management for Automated Trading Systems and Overseas IBs

Avoid over‑optimization in EAs and conduct regular reviews. Understand the profit structure and regulatory weaknesses of overseas IBs, and choose a reputable provider.

Finally

By maintaining a long‑term perspective and continuously learning and improving, we can aim for stable profits!

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