Goodman Method Explained: A Beginner’s Betting System

目次

1. What is the Goodman Method (1235 Method)

Overview of the Goodman Method

The Goodman Method (also known as the 1235 Method) is a betting system used in casinos and gambling. The core concept is to gradually increase the stake after each win, maximizing profits through consecutive victories.

The name “1235 Method” comes from the sequence of increasing stakes—1 unit, 2 units, 3 units, then 5 units. Because it offers high returns with moderate risk, it’s popular among beginner to intermediate gamblers.

Features of the Goodman Method

  • Incremental stake increases
    When you win, the stake increases; if you lose, it resets to the initial 1 unit.
  • Limiting losses
    Even with a losing streak, the loss is capped at 1 unit, reducing the risk of significant capital loss.
  • High profits during winning streaks
    Winning four times in a row causes the total stake to balloon.

Differences Between the Goodman Method and Other Betting Systems

Unlike the Martingale or Paroli systems, the Goodman Method offers a balanced risk‑return profile. For instance, the Martingale method spikes stakes during losing streaks, quickly draining your bankroll. By contrast, the Goodman Method’s stake increases are gradual, making it a safer approach.

Why the Goodman Method Is Gaining Attention

Because it works well in games with roughly a 50% win rate—like roulette and baccarat—it’s an easy strategy for many gambling enthusiasts. Its focus on disciplined bankroll management also makes it relatively straightforward for beginners to adopt.

2. Specific Steps of the Goodman Method

Bet Increase Patterns

The basic principle of the Goodman method is to increase the bet amount each time you win, maximizing profits from consecutive wins. Below are specific increase patterns.

  1. Initial bet amount: 1 unit
    The first bet is 1 unit (e.g., $10).
  2. Second bet amount: 2 units
    If you win the first bet, the next bet is 2 units (e.g., $20).
  3. Third bet amount: 3 units
    If you win the second bet as well, the next bet is 3 units (e.g., $30).
  4. Fourth bet amount: 5 units
    If you win the third bet as well, the fourth bet is 5 units (e.g., $50). Once this step is completed, you can earn a large profit.

Adjustment Methods for Winning and Losing

  • When Winning:
    Move the bet to the next step. However, if you win on the fourth bet, the cycle is complete, so you reset to 1 unit and start again.
  • When Losing:
    If you lose, end that cycle and restart from 1 unit. This method allows you to minimize losses.

Practical Example

In the following example, let’s look at the bet amounts and profit flow for each win or loss.

  • Start: Bet 1 unit ($10) and win → Total profit: $10
  • Second: Bet 2 units ($20) and win → Total profit: $30
  • Third: Bet 3 units ($30) and win → Total profit: $60
  • Fourth: Bet 5 units ($50) and win → Total profit: $110

Thus, with the Goodman method, a successful four consecutive wins can yield a large profit.

Profit Securing Mechanism During Winning Streaks

In the Goodman method, four consecutive wins are especially important. This allows you to stack profits quickly, not only covering losses but also efficiently increasing your capital. On the other hand, effective bankroll management to avoid losing streaks is key to success.

3. Types of Gambling Where the Goodman Method Is Effective

The Goodman method is a betting system suitable for specific games and gambling. This section explains the characteristics of games where this method works effectively and provides concrete examples.

Effectiveness in Games with a Win Rate Near 50%

The Goodman method performs especially well in games where wins and losses are nearly evenly split. These games have simple rules that are easy for beginners to handle, and the potential for maximizing profits through consecutive wins with the Goodman method is high.

Roulette

In roulette, bets with an approximate 50% win rate, such as the following, are possible.

  • Red/Black bet
    Betting on red or black gives a win rate of almost 50%.
  • Odd/Even bet
    A bet that predicts whether the outcome will be odd or even.
  • High/Low (1-18 or 19-36) bet
    A simple method of betting by specifying a range of numbers.

These options pair well with the Goodman method and are attractive because they make risk management easier.

Baccarat

Baccarat is a simple card game where you predict whether the player or the banker will win.

  • Betting on the Player
    A way to bet on the likelihood that the player will win.
  • Betting on the Banker
    Since the win rate is slightly higher than the player’s, you can expect more stable results.

In particular, because the player and banker win rates are almost 50%, the stability of the Goodman method stands out.

Blackjack

Blackjack is a card game where the player aims to beat the dealer. In this game, the player can use strategy to increase the win rate, making the Goodman method advantageous when used.

However, in blackjack, the house edge (casino advantage) affects the game, so it is recommended to combine strategy.

Binary Options and Other Financial Trades

Beyond gambling, there are examples of applying the Goodman method to financial trades (e.g., binary options). In this case, adjusting the investment amount for each trade can spread risk while maximizing profits.

How to Choose Games to Apply

To make the Goodman method successful, choosing the right games is essential. Refer to the following criteria.

  1. Win rate close to 50%
    Choosing games where wins and losses occur evenly maximizes the effectiveness of the Goodman method.
  2. Simple rules
    Because you can focus on adjusting the bet amount, beginner-friendly games are optimal.
  3. Low minimum bet
    Even if the initial capital is limited, you can play long hours with minimal risk.

4. Advantages and Disadvantages of the Goodman Method

Advantages

  1. Efficiently accumulate profits during winning streaks
    In the Goodman method, the bet amount increases with each win, so consecutive wins rapidly expand profits. Achieving a four-game winning streak can yield substantial earnings. Example:
    Bet flow (1 unit = $10):
  • 1st win → $10
  • 2nd win → $20
  • 3rd win → $30
  • 4th win → $50
    Total profit: $110
  1. Limited losses during losing streaks
    Because the bet resets to the initial amount (1 unit) after each loss, even a losing streak doesn’t result in large losses. In this regard, it avoids the risk of rapid bet increases seen in the Martingale system.
  2. Simple and easy to implement
    The rules are straightforward, so even beginners can start right away. Since complex calculations or advanced strategies are unnecessary, you can focus on bankroll management.
  3. Balanced risk and return
    The Goodman method has lower risk compared to other betting systems and is easier to target stable earnings. It is especially effective when operated with a long-term perspective.

Disadvantages

  1. Hard to profit without a winning streak
    Because the Goodman method assumes consecutive wins, if wins and losses alternate, it becomes difficult to earn sufficient profit. Example:
    1st win → 2nd loss → only 1 unit profit
    Even with a constant win rate, a lack of winning streaks may prevent achieving expected results.
  2. Losses accumulate during losing streaks
    Although the system resets to one unit, consecutive losses cause small losses to pile up, affecting overall bankroll. Especially with a small initial bankroll, there’s a risk of being unable to play for long periods.
  3. Unsuitable when win rate is well below 50%
    In games with low win rates (e.g., high house edge), the Goodman method’s effectiveness diminishes. Therefore, choosing an appropriate game is crucial.
  4. Limitations on short-term profits
    Compared to methods like Martingale that aim for large profits in a short time, the Goodman method yields modest gains if winning streaks are not achieved. It is not suitable for those seeking immediate high returns in gambling.

Balancing Advantages and Disadvantages

The Goodman method is a system that minimizes losses while maximizing profits during winning streaks. However, it is not a universal solution for all gambling; results vary depending on the game’s characteristics and win rate. When practicing, it is important to understand these points and apply the method in a game or play style that suits you.

5. Practical Examples and Simulation of the Goodman Method

Example: Movement of Betting Amounts Based on the Outcome Flow

Assuming one unit equals $10, and outcomes occur as follows.

  1. 1st: Win
  • Bet: $10
  • Winnings: $10
  • Total Profit: $10
  1. 2nd: Win
  • Bet: $20
  • Winnings: $20
  • Total Profit: $30
  1. 3rd: Loss
  • Bet: $30
  • Loss: -$30
  • Total Profit: $0 (profit reset)
  1. 4th: Win
  • Bet: $10
  • Winnings: $10
  • Total Profit: $10

In this scenario, the profit resets after the third loss, but the loss is limited to just one unit.

Simulation: Profit Progression During Streaks

Next, we simulate the profit when using the Goodman method for four consecutive wins.

  • 1st bet (1 unit): $10 → Win → Total Profit: $10
  • 2nd bet (2 units): $20 → Win → Total Profit: $30
  • 3rd bet (3 units): $30 → Win → Total Profit: $60
  • 4th bet (5 units): $50 → Win → Total Profit: $110

Thus, the Goodman method yields a substantial profit by achieving four consecutive wins.

Simulation: Verification at 50% Win Rate

Assume playing a game with a 50% win rate for 100 rounds.

  • Outcome flow: Wins and losses occur randomly
  • Initial capital: $200
  • 1 unit: $10

Example results:

  • 4 consecutive wins occurred twice → Total Profit: $220
  • 2 consecutive wins occurred 10 times → Total Profit: $100
  • Other losses → Loss: -$180

Final Profit: $140

From these results, it can be seen that the Goodman method is likely to generate stable profits even with a 50% win rate.

Caveats: Limitations of the Simulation

  • In real games, the house edge (casino’s profit margin) influences results, so the win rate is typically slightly below 50%.
  • The flow of outcomes matters, and if streaks don’t continue, it may be hard to achieve adequate profit.

Visual Explanation Using Graphs

To visualize the flow of outcomes and profit changes, creating a graph like the following can be effective.

  • Horizontal axis: Number of plays
  • Vertical axis: Total profit
  • Plot profit changes during wins and losses

This helps readers better imagine the actual behavior of the Goodman method.

6. Cautions When Using the Goodman Method

Importance of Fund Management

  1. Initial Capital Secured
    With the Goodman method, it is important to have sufficient initial funds in case of a losing streak. The recommended initial capital is at least 20 times the betting unit.
  • Example: If one unit is $10, it is ideal to prepare more than $200.
  1. Set a Maximum Loss Limit
    Set a maximum loss limit in advance to protect your funds. For example, it is good to decide to end the game when you have lost $100.
  2. Timing for Taking Profit
    When you have earned a certain profit, it is important to decide in advance whether to continue betting or stop. This helps avoid unnecessary risk.

Key Points for Selecting Games

  1. Choose Games with a Win Rate Near 50%
    The Goodman method performs best in games where wins and losses are evenly balanced. Choose games such as the following.
  • Roulette (red/black, odd/even, etc.)
  • Baccarat (betting on player or banker)
  1. Games with a Low House Edge
    Games with a lower house edge are more favorable to players. For example, European roulette (house edge about 2.7%) is a good choice.

How to Identify Winning and Losing Streak Patterns

  1. Be Cautious During Winning Streaks
    When a winning streak continues, you can accumulate profits, but be careful not to get too greedy. After completing a cycle (1 unit → 2 units → 3 units → 5 units), reset and approach the next bet calmly.
  2. Responding to Losing Streaks
    If losses continue, it is important to stay calm and reset to 1 unit. Also, if you notice signs of a continuing losing streak, temporarily pausing the game is one option.

Beware of Psychological Pitfalls

  1. Do Not Chase Losses
    The urge to recover losses can lead to reckless betting. Aim for planned betting management.
  2. Avoid Overconfidence
    The Goodman method is not all‑powerful, and win rates are not guaranteed. Maintaining calm judgment is key to success.

Have Realistic Expectations

  1. Don’t React to Short‑Term Results
    Since wins and losses occur randomly, it is important to keep a long‑term perspective and not be swayed by short‑term results.
  2. Set Realistic Goals
    For example, setting a realistic goal such as ‘stop when you have earned 10% of your initial capital’ helps prevent reckless play.

7. Comparison with Other Betting Systems

Comparison with the Martingale Method

  1. Basic Rules
  • Goodman Method: Increase the bet after each win, reset to 1 unit when you lose.
  • Martingale Method: Double the bet when you lose, and recover all losses with a single win.
  1. Risk and Return
  • Goodman Method: Low risk, accumulates profit during winning streaks. Losses during losing streaks are limited.
  • Martingale Method: High return, but bet amounts surge during losing streaks, increasing the risk of depleting funds.
  1. Suitable Players
  • Goodman Method: For beginners or players with limited funds.
  • Martingale Method: For players with ample funds who can tolerate risk.

Comparison with the Paroli Method

  1. Basic Rules
  • Goodman Method: A system that increases the bet to 1→2→3→5 units.
  • Paroli Method: Reinvest the entire bet amount after each win.
  1. Risk and Return
  • Goodman Method: Gradually increasing the bet spreads risk.
  • Paroli Method: Since the bet is increased all at once, profits during winning streaks are large, but losses when a loss occurs mid‑streak are also large.
  1. Suitable Players
  • Goodman Method: Suitable for players aiming for stable earnings.
  • Paroli Method: For players targeting high returns in a short period.

Comparison with the Labouchère Method (D’Alembert Method)

  1. Basic Rules
  • Goodman Method: Increase the bet after each win, reset when you lose.
  • Labouchère Method: Reduce the bet after each win, increase when you lose.
  1. Risk and Return
  • Goodman Method: High profits during winning streaks, with limited losses even when you lose.
  • Labouchère Method: Easier to achieve stable earnings, but losses increase during losing streaks.
  1. Suitable Players
  • Goodman Method: Players who prioritize stability in games with balanced outcomes.
  • Labouchère Method: For players who prioritize recovering losses.

Strengths of the Goodman Method and How to Choose It

The Goodman Method has the following characteristics, making it suitable for a wide range of players.

  • Stability: Efficiently manage funds and minimize risk during losing streaks.
  • Flexibility: Suitable for beginners to intermediate players.
  • Strategic: While keeping track of the flow of wins and losses, you can pursue profit while minimizing risk.

On the other hand, if you want large profits in a short time or want to recover losses quickly, other systems (e.g., Paroli or Martingale) may be more suitable.

8. Summary

The Goodman method is a betting system that balances maximizing profits from winning streaks with minimizing losses. It is suitable for a wide range of players from beginners to intermediate, and it is especially effective in games with a win rate close to 50% (such as roulette, baccarat, etc.).

Key Points of the Goodman Method

  • Incremental Betting: Increase the bet by 1→2→3→5 units with each win, and reset if you lose.
  • Risk Reduction: Even if you have a losing streak, losses are limited, making bankroll management easier.
  • Profit on Winning Streaks: You can secure a large profit if you win four consecutive times.

Advice When Practicing

  1. Thoroughly manage your bankroll: Secure enough initial funds and play within a reasonable range.
  2. Select the right game: Choose a game with a win rate close to 50% and become familiar with its rules.
  3. Stay calm: Control your bets according to plan, regardless of wins or losses.

Differences from Other Betting Systems

The Goodman method offers a better balance of risk and return compared to the Martingale or Paroli systems, making it especially suitable for players seeking long-term stability.

Finally

Playing gambling games should be enjoyable. By using the Goodman method, you can play strategically rather than relying solely on luck. However, no matter which system you use, there is still a possibility of loss. Manage your funds carefully and enjoy playing in a way that suits you.

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